Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.031378 0.036564 0.042274 0.049019 0.056759 0.065353 0.075611
2025-09-07 0.024568 0.031569 0.039987 0.050818 0.064342 0.080630 0.101685
2025-09-14 0.019175 0.026854 0.036829 0.050647 0.069196 0.093122 0.126193
2025-09-21 0.014967 0.022654 0.033351 0.049177 0.071815 0.102815 0.148213
2025-09-28 0.012166 0.019751 0.030981 0.048593 0.075239 0.113685 0.172886
2025-10-05 0.010841 0.018720 0.031037 0.051363 0.083638 0.132341 0.210615
2025-10-12 0.009584 0.017531 0.030595 0.053187 0.090687 0.149628 0.248092
2025-10-19 0.007987 0.015460 0.028366 0.051727 0.092197 0.158345 0.273011
2025-10-26 0.006854 0.013987 0.026884 0.051233 0.095107 0.169433 0.302680
2025-11-02 0.005778 0.012417 0.024969 0.049653 0.095848 0.176833 0.326749
2025-11-09 0.004935 0.011145 0.023393 0.048432 0.096992 0.184902 0.352585
2025-11-16 0.004355 0.010301 0.022504 0.048362 0.100192 0.196834 0.386297
2025-11-23 0.003726 0.009252 0.021075 0.047080 0.101013 0.204685 0.413730
2025-11-30 0.003473 0.009004 0.021274 0.049160 0.108734 0.226309 0.469222
2025-12-07 0.003087 0.008371 0.020546 0.049167 0.112214 0.240057 0.510839
2025-12-14 0.002662 0.007558 0.019286 0.047822 0.112662 0.247786 0.541241
2025-12-21 0.002348 0.006966 0.018444 0.047295 0.114792 0.259103 0.579924
2025-12-28 0.002255 0.006943 0.018963 0.050017 0.124467 0.287084 0.655707
2026-01-04 0.002117 0.006773 0.019091 0.051808 0.132203 0.311615 0.726316
2026-01-11 0.001844 0.006158 0.017985 0.050388 0.132235 0.319310 0.761183
2026-01-18 0.001646 0.005725 0.017289 0.049909 0.134455 0.332055 0.808282
2026-01-25 0.001432 0.005196 0.016246 0.048369 0.133863 0.338303 0.841258
2026-02-01 0.001258 0.004757 0.015380 0.047178 0.133997 0.346214 0.878704